THE PRACTICAL GUIDE FOR
Analyzing the
Sales Pipeline
The 5 things you need to know about your
sales pipeline to ensure consistent revenue growth.
Courtesy of TopOPPS
Jim Eberlin, Founder & CEO
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Most sales leaders analyze their pipeline the same way they’ve done it for years -
this is why sales is still a grind, forecasting is still a struggle, and there are still
surprises or disappointment at the end of the sales period.
Your sales pipeline analytics should answer these questions with precision:
•
How much new and total sales pipeline do we need – and will we have enough?
•
Is the sales pipeline filling at the appropriate rate?
•
Where are deals getting stuck in the pipeline so I can change or coach on
those sales activities?
•
Am I converting what’s in the sales pipeline at the necessary rate?
These questions have to be answered for the whole company, the region or
division and for the sales representative.
If I don’t know the answers to these questions (and some follow on questions), I
may be caught flat footed at the end of the sales period and miss the number. But
more importantly, without good answers to these questions throughout the sales
period, I can’t make good decisions to improve my process and my reps – costing
the company millions in lost deals.
So, let’s look at what us sales leaders use to answer these four questions above.
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INTRODUCTION
If you don’t know these 5 things about
your sales pipeline, it’s costing you millions!
Most sales leaders look at total sales pipeline for the period and
closes (see graphic below).
This graph tells us:
•
Total pipeline in dollars or units
•
Closes from that period
•
The specific period and its respective total pipeline and
closes
This type of graph can be used at the beginning of the quarter
to compare to previous quarters and it can also be used to
decide if we have enough coverage based on what we’ve
needed in the past.
Here’s what it doesn’t tell us: A lot. Let’s start with some
basics:
•
How much of our sales pipeline is new?
•
Are we filling our sales pipeline at a rate that we need?
•
How much of this sales pipeline was already there at the
beginning of the quarter?
sales
•
How does this compare to previous periods? (in our case
it’s quarter over quarter)
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Sales Pipeline and Closes Per Sales Period
Then, let’s drill down to see if it’s a healthy pipeline by asking:
•
How much of this sales pipeline is scheduled to win this
period?
•
How many open opportunities do we have to work on?
•
How much of this sales pipeline pushed into this quarter?
(Push definition: deal was scheduled to win in the
previous period but was pushed into the following
period)
•
How many have had multiple pushes prior to this
quarter?
•
How does our number of pushes compare to previous
periods?
The problem with only being able to answer the former (simple
answers such as total sales pipeline and closes) leaves you at a major
disadvantage to impact revenue growth for the following 4
reasons:
•
There’s no time to react if there’s not enough sales pipeline
•
There’s nothing to help you pinpoint a problem or make
adjustments for the future
•
There’s nothing to help you coach-up your reps to
perform better
•
There’s nothing that tells you what happened to these
deals – or if they were any good to begin with
What’s needed is the ability to understand more about your
pipeline – where it came from, what happened to it, and
ultimately, to understand and predict if I’ll have enough to hit
my number. Sales analytics with artificial intelligence is helpful
because it can predict the outcome in time for you to make an
impact. CSO Insights reports that 94% of their World Class sales
performers use sales analytics technologies for better decision
making and less digging.
The following are 5 fundamental components of
understanding your sales pipeline and predicting early on
(and in time) if you’ll hit your number.
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Checking the composition of your sales pipeline is like checking the ingredients of
something you’re about to buy at the grocery store. Before you buy it you want to
make sure it has enough of the good stuff and not too much of the bad stuff. Also,
you need to compare each component of the sales pipeline to previous periods to make
sure you’re optimized for performance. You want to know if you’re getting better
month over month, quarter over quarter and year over year.
Components to analyze in the current period to compare to previous periods
are:
a.
New sales pipeline entering - this tells you if your pipeline is filling at the
appropriate pace
b.
Open sales pipeline – this tells you how many active opportunities you are
working each period
c.
Scheduled to Win Pipeline - deals with close dates for the current period
d.
Pushed Pipeline - this is sales pipeline that was scheduled to win in a previous
period that pushed into current period
e.
Multi-pushed Pipeline - this is sales pipeline that has been scheduled to win in 2
periods or more prior to pushing into current period
Within every sales period you have to analyze what was scheduled to win and
actually won, what was lost and what pushed into the following period. You may
filter these same metrics by industry, size of company and other important
attributes of your ideal customer profile.
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Composition of the Sales Pipeline
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Composition of the Sales Pipeline
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Example shows a comparison of the composition of the pipeline from
current week to the same week last period.
This example shows the
current composition and
future composition
Every sales period you have to look at the rate that you are producing new sales pipeline
and how much open sales pipeline you have on a daily, weekly and monthly basis – in
addition to the quarter. You have to compare to the previous periods on the
sales pipeline fill rate so that you can predict and also react in time if you’re not
performing to what it should be.
By having the ability to predict the outcome of your pipeline generation for the
period – you’ll understand the urgency and the speed necessary to react. AI
applications such as TopOPPS automatically predict how much sales pipeline you’ll
generate, how much you’ll close and what will happen to the rest of it (ex. Push,
win or loss).
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Sales Pipeline Prediction
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Sales Pipeline Prediction
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Example shows previous periods plus current period prediction, additionally
it can show next period prediction.
A fundamental ingredient to having a pipeline you understand and can predict is
accuracy. You need a scoring mechanism to rank leads and opportunities – and
accuracy is one of the components to score. The more effective you are at
scrutinizing opportunities – and removing what doesn’t belong – the more
predictive and the more confident you’ll be in your sales metrics. Artificial
Intelligence is a huge benefit for ensuring accuracy within a sales pipeline – telling you
which deals require updates, which deals should be focused on and which should
be removed.
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Accuracy of the Sales Pipeline
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Accuracy of the Sales Pipeline
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Example shows ranking by best opportunities in single stage, and insights to
improve sales pipeline hygiene and accuracy.
Here’s a real story that happened here at TopOPPS that helps with understanding
the importance of knowing what happened to new leads and open opportunities.
We discovered that we were not producing as many new leads for the week as we
were in the same week of the previous month. We thought this was a fluke after
the first week – but when it happened again in the following week, we knew there
was a problem.
We had recently made changes to the sales team structure – but I was confident
that they were positive changes and they were not causing the problem. So, my
first guess was that the leads were fewer – but maybe they were much better
quality. The new sales teams were experienced and focused and therefore were
probably producing fewer but better leads. But by analyzing the previous period’s
leads, I found that many of them closed and also were still active in later stages.
So my first guess was wrong. We knew it had to be something else because the
previous period’s leads were good. I knew the teams were performing well so it
was not long before I discovered the problem was within the lists. Our call lists
needed to be enriched – something that was accidentally yet understandably
dropped during the big change going on within the team structure.
Thankfully, this was discovered in time to adjust – and we had solid pre-existing
pipeline that covered us in making our number. But if we wouldn’t have had the
ability to analyze what was happening to our sales pipeline and within the sales pipeline – we
would not have caught the problem until it was too late.
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What Happened in Previous Periods
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What Happened in Previous Periods
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Example diagram shows what happened to the leads created in Q3 of 2016.
It shows what closed and what deals are still active from this cohort.
Analyzing the trend of conversion rates of the different components of the sales pipeline
helps us have confidence and a great handle on the forecast as well as the
sales pipeline.
We need answers to these questions:
•
How many of the new leads do we close in the sales period? (this question
is based on your sales cycle)
•
How many of the pre-existing pipeline do we close?
•
And of course, how many do we convert of the total sales pipeline?
Tracking this is helpful to see if we are getting better or worse – but it also helps us
be more predictive. If I knew that I got 500 leads in per month, and we closed 50
of them consistently within the sales period and 125 overall – that would be a great
thing to know and understand.
Going into every period, it’s not enough to know aggregate conversions. I want to
know how many I expect to get new, and what’s there already – and how much I
can convert from both new and pre-existing.
You also need to know how much of your pushed and multi-pushed opportunities
you’re converting.
And finally, you need to track conversions by stage of opportunity. This is a great
way to understand where deals get stuck and if it’s a problem company wide or
just with that sales rep. So, having the ability to see trends of the conversion rates
as well as the ability to compare to peers helps to focus where to coach and how
to coach.
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Conversion Rates
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Tracking Conversion Rates
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Example shows conversions by stage and where deals get stuck for
coaching opportunities.
TopOPPS can predict your sales pipeline and forecast results, and
prescribe the right activities with AI -
request a demo
.
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SUMMARY
By applying these five best practices, you will look at your sales pipeline more
often because it will tell you more and help you with your strategy for
the sales period as well as indicate how urgent your reaction should be.
And you’ll have the right kind of information to help you coach the sales
team and adjust the sales model to accommodate the appropriate
amount of opportunities at the correct rate.
Artificial intelligence, predictive and prescriptive analytics for sales is
a great way to immediately apply these best practices and to get
results quickly. Business Intelligence (BI) tools cannot give you the
insights and bring problems to the surface quick enough to understand
and react. So, a good AI application for sales such as TopOPPS can help
you become more knowledgeable and predictive about your sales pipeline
and utilize insights to coach up the sales team – without doing the time
consuming “digging around” data.
The cost of not having these five components to your pipeline has a
negative impact on your conversion rates and the number of leads and
opportunities flowing into the sales pipeline – which easily results in millions of
dollars in losses over time. Apply AI, predictive and prescriptive
solutions such as TopOPPS to prevent these losses and accelerate
revenue growth.